_Tristan Chatfield_

http://www.redwood-dragon.com/kbipgr/me.xz?uarwt

3/28/2013 6:26:22 PM

3/28/2013 6:26:22 PM

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3/9/2013 11:25:01 PM

http://www.osborne-ink.com/jpr//qzlc/mv/sx/dvrjz/zcy/ptdkn/whn/yezds

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3/9/2013 11:25:01 PM

http://www.osborne-ink.com/jpr//qzlc/mv/sx/dvrjz/zcy/ptdkn/whn/yezds

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More on THAT poll

The French media is having fifty fits over the poll at the weekend that gave Marine Le Pen a lead in the 1st round of Presidential voting a welcome bit of sanity is provided by Melissa Bounoua writing in the Guardian,

Yes, we love polls. We now have about 18 pollsters (we only had four a few years ago) churning out no fewer than 20 polls a week. We are Europe’s champions of polls, according to a French deputy that belittled the one on Sunday. They have become actual news in an outlandish political landscape that feels more and more like a cheap sci-fi movie. Le Pen is, after all, the only one who has officially announced she is running for president.

Polls can indeed say anything and its contrary. Let’s go back to 2002’s presidential election. Jean-Marie Le Pen, Marine’s father, faced Jacques Chirac in an unprecedented second round. Eighty per cent of French citizens went to the streets and voted against the far-right candidate. Chirac was re-elected president. This fear of extremism reunited the country but failed to teach us a lesson: that no poll actually predicted what happened.”

Read the full article here

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Shock poll lead for Le Pen

Shock poll gives Marine Le Pen a lead in the First Round of voting for President, admitedly in a poll that has Aubry as the Socialist Candidate.

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***Poll Watch***

A new poll for France Soir taken by Ifop gives DSK a substantial lead in the race to be the Socialist Candidate for 2012 taken on 24/25 Feb.

DSK – 40% (-4)

Martine Aubry – 17% (-7)

Ségolène Royal – 17% (+5)

Franςois Holland – 15% (+4)

Arnaud Montebourg – 4% (+1)

Manuel Valls – 4% (-)

Comparisons are from an indentical poll taken 10/11 Feb

The field appears to be bunching up a bit with Holland and his ex-partner Royal making substanial progress at expense of DSK and Aubry, even through this poll was taken before her latest mistake.

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The Vague Socialists

France Today brings us news of  Martine Aubry’s somewhat alarming slip of the tongue last weekend. Observers will suspect that this slip is a pretty good summation of the Socialist Party and its leader. DSK must be rubbing his hands in glee.

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